I've been looking at Tyne and Wear as a whole,
wondering where the LibDem hotspots are, and it's quite a pleasing picture in
most areas. We're talking about the Newcastle, North and South Tyneside,
Sunderland and Gateshead areas. So let's see the data. I'll go with my
favourite statistic, % vote in the constituency since 2004.
Sunderland Local Elections 2004-12
|
|||||||
2004
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
LibDem
|
8
|
15.7
|
8.7
|
11.6
|
18.3
|
5.1
|
5.5
|
Labour
|
55.4
|
40.5
|
43.3
|
39.6
|
49
|
60.3
|
62.1
|
Conservatives
|
28.9
|
28.4
|
28.1
|
32
|
25.5
|
25.7
|
20.4
|
BNP
|
6.6
|
14.6
|
10.6
|
10.2
|
3.3
|
0
|
|
UKIP
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
2
|
4.9
|
|||
Respect
|
0.3
|
||||||
Green
|
0.3
|
2.4
|
4.7
|
||||
Independent
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
8.3
|
6.4
|
4
|
4.6
|
2.4
|
Liberal
|
0.2
|
||||||
Monster
RL
|
0.1
|
||||||
British
First
|
0.5
|
||||||
Left
Party
|
0.1
|
||||||
As you may
know, Sunderland is a Labour/Conservative council. Some BNP activity,
unfortunately.
Newcastle Local Election Results 2004-12
|
|||||||
2004
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
LibDem
|
41.7
|
47.8
|
46.3
|
45.8
|
38.2
|
31.1
|
28.1
|
Labour
|
33.3
|
35.5
|
33.7
|
31.8
|
38.9
|
51
|
49.9
|
Conservative
|
15
|
9.5
|
12.3
|
13.5
|
14.5
|
11.4
|
7.8
|
BNP
|
2.7
|
2.7
|
4.5
|
5.6
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.3
|
Independent
|
3.8
|
0.3
|
1
|
0.3
|
3.3
|
||
Green
|
1.3
|
3.2
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
2.2
|
2.2
|
2.5
|
Newcastle First
|
0.0
|
7.8
|
|||||
UKIP
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
|||||
NF
|
1.2
|
0.1
|
|||||
Socialist
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
|||||
English Democrats
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
|||||
Respect
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
|||||
Free England
|
0.5
|
||||||
Communist
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|||||
TUSC
|
0.1
|
||||||
Great to see the LibDems giving Labour a fight for
their money in Newcastle. Conservatives are nowhere. Some interesting smaller
parties like Newcastle First, which in at least one ward, divided the LibDem
vote so that Labour got in. If the statistic was less than 0.1% I left it off.
Weird that the data isn't available on Wikipedia or the council website.
Someone trying to hide their percentages?
After the post 2010 slump, it appears the LibDems are starting to
recover a little. I can understand how that might be unpalatable for some, but
the sheer unavailability of 2012 percentages across the area is remarkable in
its coverage. Never fear, I've collected the numbers for your convenience.
North Tyneside Local Election results
2004-12
|
|||||||
2004
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
LibDem
|
24.5
|
15.7
|
17
|
15.7
|
15.1
|
9.7
|
7.5
|
Labour
|
35.5
|
38.5
|
39.9
|
37.8
|
49.1
|
54.2
|
56.9
|
Conservative
|
34.9
|
40.7
|
39.2
|
43.6
|
32.5
|
34.3
|
35.1
|
BNP
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.1
|
|
Independent
|
3.8
|
1
|
0.3
|
||||
Green
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
|||
NF
|
0.5
|
1
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
|
UKIP
|
0.3
|
||||||
New Nation.
|
0.1
|
||||||
English Democrats
|
0.2
|
||||||
A two way fight here between Labour and the
Conservatives, but with a couple of strong LibDem wards to add spice to the
mix.
South Tyneside Local Elections
2004-12
|
|||||||
2004
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
Labour
|
36.5
|
40.5
|
41.5
|
37.4
|
48.7
|
53.7
|
59.4
|
Conservative
|
15.9
|
13.8
|
13.1
|
15.9
|
14.4
|
14.2
|
12.2
|
Lib Dem
|
18.5
|
11.6
|
6.4
|
5
|
7.2
|
2.5
|
0
|
BNP
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
4.4
|
9.2
|
8.5
|
2.3
|
4.9
|
Independent
|
17.6
|
25.9
|
26.8
|
25.2
|
15.6
|
21.9
|
17.6
|
Progressive
|
8.5
|
6
|
5.4
|
5.8
|
4.3
|
3.3
|
3.7
|
Green
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
1.8
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
Liberal
|
0.9
|
1.6
|
|||||
A very strong Labour council on first glance, with one Conservative ward, but appearances can be deceptive. Things are rotten in the state of Denmark, if you'll allow me a bad metaphor. Check out those Independent figures!
Gateshead Local Elections 2004-12
|
|||||||
2004
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
LibDem
|
32.7
|
37.5
|
35.6
|
34.5
|
30.3
|
21.2
|
21.1
|
Labour
|
45
|
44.6
|
46
|
42.1
|
50
|
63.5
|
66.1
|
Conservative
|
10.3
|
9.6
|
9.1
|
12.8
|
12.2
|
11.3
|
8
|
BNP
|
7.7
|
3.7
|
5
|
5.8
|
4.3
|
||
Independent
|
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
Liberal
|
3.5
|
2.8
|
2.6
|
3
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
1.9
|
Green
|
0.1
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
||||
UKIP
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
|||||
TUSC
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
|||||
NF
|
0.25
|
||||||
A couple of LibDem hotspots in Gateshead make this an interesting council, despite the Labour strength. No Conservative presence to speak of, though I'll always praise the dedication of campaigners where there's no chance, whatever their party.
2013 seems to be the year of no elections in our
area, except the odd byelection. Next year is the one to look forward to, with
all councils in Tyne and Wear gearing up for a fight. More next time on which
wards Labour are gunning for, which are hopeless from their perspective, and
which wards are not as safe as you might think... Let's try to predict that
battle plan. And yes, the data will be from every council in Tyne and Wear.
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